以前抄月殳喜欢玩指标，以为指标好了，就能选到好票 。在理想论坛混了好几年，也找了好多的指标玩。玩指标的时候，看介绍看截图都是很精准，信号一发出没几天，股价就蹭蹭上去了，一骑绝尘。可自己玩的时候，却没有这个效果。后来我明白了：如果我把大部分的牛都做上记号，让牛去跑。跑了一段时间，有几头牛跑在了前面了。路旁的观众一看跑在前面的牛都有这种记号。以为有这种记号的牛就是犍牛。殊不知还有好多有记号的牛在后面，甚至还呆在起跑线不动。而且观众也懒得去看跑在后面或病倒在起跑线的牛。原来玩指标的道理就是这么简单 。我们抄月殳主要是顺势而为。大势好的时候，任何指标准确率都很高。大势坏的时候，任何指标都会失效。所以我们要把握好大趋势，踏准节奏。这样即使不用指标，盲选也有很高的成功率。就像雷军说的，即使是头猪，站在风口也能给你吹飞起来 。 RSV:=(C-LLV(L,9))/(HHV(H,9)-LLV(L,9))*100; K:SMA(RSV,3,1); D:SMA(K,3,1); J:3*K-2*D; X:=LLV(J,2)=LLV(J,8); 短进:CROSS(J,REF(J+0.01,1)) AND X AND J<20; 0,COLORYELLOW; 20,COLORLIRED; 50,COLORBLUE; 80,COLORLICYAN; 100,COLORGREEN; DRAWTEXT(短进,85,'低'); STICKLINE(短进,0,85,2,0); A74:=MA(CLOSE,20); A75:=(CLOSE > MA(CLOSE,5)); A76:=(MA(CLOSE,5) > MA(CLOSE,10)); A77:=(CLOSE > MA(CLOSE,10)); A78:=(MA(CLOSE,5) > MA(CLOSE,20)); A79:=(CLOSE > MA(CLOSE,20)); A710:=REF(A74,1); A711:=(A74 > A710); AVX:=(((((IF(A75,10,(0 - 10)) + IF(A76,10,(0 - 10))) + IF(A77,10,(0 - 10))) + IF(A78,10,(0 - 10))) + IF(A79,10,(0 - 10))) + IF(A711,10,(0 - 10))); DSLX:=(CLOSE / INDEXC); DSLX1:=MA(DSLX,5); DSLX2:=MA(DSLX,10); V1:=MA(VOL,5); V2:=MA(VOL,10); T1:=CONST(IF(C<200 AND ((CROSS(AVX,1) AND (V1 >= V2)) AND (DSLX >= DSLX1)),1,0)); T2:=CONST(IF(C<200 AND ((CROSS(AVX,1) AND (V1 < V2)) AND (DSLX >= DSLX1)),1,0)); T3:=CONST(IF(C<200 AND ((CROSS(AVX,1) AND (V1 > V2)) AND (DSLX < DSLX1)),1,0)); T4:=CONST(IF(C<200 AND ((CROSS(AVX,1) AND (V1 <= V2)) AND (DSLX < DSLX1)),1,0)); T5:=CONST(IF(C<200 AND ((CROSS(1,AVX) AND (V1 >= V2)) AND (DSLX >= DSLX1)),1,0)); T6:=CONST(IF(C<200 AND ((CROSS(1,AVX) AND (V1 < V2)) AND (DSLX >= DSLX1)),1,0)); T7:=CONST(IF(C<200 AND ((CROSS(1,AVX) AND (V1 >= V2)) AND (DSLX < DSLX1)),1,0)); T8:=CONST(IF(C<200 AND ((CROSS(1,AVX) AND (V1 < V2)) AND (DSLX < DSLX1)),1,0)); T9:=CONST(IF(C<200 AND ((((AVX >= 1) AND (REF(AVX,1) > 0)) AND (V1 >= V2)) AND (DSLX >= DSLX1)),1,0)); T10:=CONST(IF(C<200 AND ((((AVX >= 1) AND (REF(AVX,1) > 0)) AND (V1 < V2)) AND (DSLX >= DSLX1)),1,0)); T11:=CONST(IF(C<200 AND ((((AVX >= 1) AND (REF(AVX,1) > 0)) AND (V1 >= V2)) AND (DSLX < DSLX1)),1,0)); T12:=CONST(IF(C<200 AND ((((AVX >= 1) AND (REF(AVX,1) > 0)) AND (V1 < V2)) AND (DSLX < DSLX1)),1,0)); T13:=CONST(IF(C<200 AND ((((AVX < 1) AND (REF(AVX,1) < 0)) AND (V1 >= V2)) AND (DSLX >= DSLX1)),1,0)); T14:=CONST(IF( C<200 AND ((((AVX < 1) AND (REF(AVX,1) < 0)) AND (V1 < V2)) AND (DSLX >= DSLX1)),1,0)); T15:=CONST(IF(C<200 AND ((((AVX < 1) AND (REF(AVX,1) < 0)) AND (V1 >= V2)) AND (DSLX < DSLX1)),1,0)); T16:=CONST(IF(C<200 AND ((((AVX < 1) AND (REF(AVX,1) < 0)) AND (V1 < V2)) AND (DSLX < DSLX1)),1,0)); T17:=CONST(IF(C>200 AND (CROSS(AVX,1) AND (V1 >= V2)),1,0)); T18:=CONST(IF(C>200 AND (CROSS(AVX,1) AND (V1 >= V2)),1,0)); T19:=CONST(IF(C>200 AND (CROSS(AVX,1) AND (V1 < V2)),1,0)); T20:=CONST(IF(C>200 AND (CROSS(1,AVX) AND (V1 >= V2)),1,0)); T21:=CONST(IF(C>200 AND (CROSS(1,AVX) AND (V1 < V2)),1,0)); T22:=CONST(IF(C>200 AND (((AVX >= 1) AND (REF(AVX,1) > 0)) AND (V1 >= V2)),1,0)); T23:=CONST(IF(C>200 AND (((AVX >= 1) AND (REF(AVX,1) > 0)) AND (V1 < V2)),1,0)); T24:=CONST(IF(C>200 AND (((AVX < 1) AND (REF(AVX,1) < 0)) AND (V1 >= V2)),1,0)); T25:=CONST(IF(C>200 AND (((AVX < 1) AND (REF(AVX,1) < 0)) AND (V1 < V2)),1,0)); DRAWTEXT(T1=1 AND CURRBARSCOUNT=70,30 ,'量能理想,明显走强,中线参与，仓位在2/3左右'),COLORFF00FF ; DRAWTEXT(T2=1 AND CURRBARSCOUNT=70,30 ,'走势趋强,还显不足,短线进场，仓位在1/2左右'),COLORFF00FF ; DRAWTEXT(T3=1 AND CURRBARSCOUNT=70,30 ,'量价良好,没有明显走强，短线进场，仓位1/2左右'),COLORFF00FF ; DRAWTEXT(T4=1 AND CURRBARSCOUNT=70,30 ,'形态尚可，量能不足，未完全走强，短线参与，仓位1/3左右'),COLORFF00FF ; DRAWTEXT(T5=1 AND CURRBARSCOUNT=70,30 ,'形态变坏，重仓者减持大半，清仓者观望'),COLORFF00FF ; DRAWTEXT(T6=1 AND CURRBARSCOUNT=70,30 ,'随大盘一起下跌，明显缩量走势，考虑到风险，减持或清仓'),COLORFF00FF ; DRAWTEXT(T7=1 AND CURRBARSCOUNT=70,30 ,'该股放量下跌，走势明显偏弱，离场观望'),COLORFF00FF ; DRAWTEXT(T8=1 AND CURRBARSCOUNT=70,30 ,'该股缩量下跌，走势偏弱，离场观望。'),COLORFF00FF ; DRAWTEXT(T9=1 AND CURRBARSCOUNT=70,30 ,'该股形态良好，强势明显，量能充足，可以继续持有'),COLORFF00FF ; DRAWTEXT(T10=1 AND CURRBARSCOUNT=70,30 ,'上行趋势不变，强势依然，量能开始转弱，注意风险'),COLORFF00FF ; DRAWTEXT(T11=1 AND CURRBARSCOUNT=70,30 ,'该股仍然具备上涨潜力，但股性偏弱，可考虑减仓'),COLORFF00FF ; DRAWTEXT(T12=1 AND CURRBARSCOUNT=70,30 ,'该股走势趋弱，量能不足，减持大部分筹码'),COLORFF00FF ; DRAWTEXT(T13=1 AND CURRBARSCOUNT=70,30 ,'该股形态不佳，注意成交量的变化，目前不适合参与'),COLORFF00FF ; DRAWTEXT(T14=1 AND CURRBARSCOUNT=70,30 ,'趋势不明，股价偏弱，注意量能变化，目前不宜参与'),COLORFF00FF ; DRAWTEXT(T15=1 AND CURRBARSCOUNT=70,30 ,'有走强迹象，但量能不足，趋势不明，不适合操作'),COLORFF00FF ; DRAWTEXT(T16=1 AND CURRBARSCOUNT=70,30 ,'该股走势太弱，没有参与价值。'),COLORFF00FF ; DRAWTEXT(T17=1 AND CURRBARSCOUNT=70,30 ,'大盘理想，有明显走强迹象，中线参与，仓位在2/3左右'),COLORFF00FF ; DRAWTEXT(T18=1 AND CURRBARSCOUNT=70,30 ,'如前期经过一轮下跌，最佳买点，前期有过一段涨幅需谨慎'),COLORFF00FF ; DRAWTEXT(T19=1 AND CURRBARSCOUNT=70,30 ,'考虑短线进场，仓位在1/2左右，一旦量能放大,加仓买入'),COLORFF00FF ; DRAWTEXT(T20=1 AND CURRBARSCOUNT=70,30 ,'大盘形态走坏，重仓者可以减去大部分仓位。'),COLORFF0000 ; DRAWTEXT(T21=1 AND CURRBARSCOUNT=70,30 ,'大盘缩量调整，注意风险，短线清仓观望。'),COLORFF0000 ; DRAWTEXT(T22=1 AND CURRBARSCOUNT=70,30 ,'大盘走势良好，量能理想，可以继续持有强势股。'),COLORFF0000 ; DRAWTEXT(T23=1 AND CURRBARSCOUNT=70,30 ,'大盘形态良好，但量能稍显不足，随时准备减仓。'),COLORFF0000 ; DRAWTEXT(T24=1 AND CURRBARSCOUNT=70,30 ,'大盘趋势不明，注意成交量变化，目前不适宜进场。'),COLORFF0000 ; DRAWTEXT(T25=1 AND CURRBARSCOUNT=70,30 ,'大盘趋势向下，量能萎缩，不适合进场。'),COLORFF0000 ;
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